The scale of the euro against the ruble for a week. Euro exchange rate forecast for a week

This page contains information from various sources trying to predict the euro for the foreseeable future. Take this no more seriously than a horoscope: the only reliable knowledge that can be obtained by delving into such predictions is that it is impossible to accurately predict the exchange rate.

Sorry, forecasts are not available at this time.

Forecast on the relationship between oil and the ruble exchange rate

There is an opinion that the exchange rate of the dollar or the euro (or rather, the exchange rate or the strength of the ruble as a currency) is closely related to the price of oil. Some minds look at the price of oil and try to predict the rise or fall of the national currency, based on the corresponding price movements for this energy carrier.

We analyze quotes for both in real time and publish here simple coefficients that reflect the presence or absence of a linear correlation between them.

Pearson ratio chart for the last 30 days: oil and euro

Pearson coefficient = -0.0357

No correlation in this moment not tracked.

If the Pearson coefficient modulo tends to unity, and the points on the graph above tend to line up in a diagonal line, then we can judge the presence of a linear correlation in the considered interval. Below we provide a graph of the monthly history of these coefficients.

The history of Pearson's ratio fluctuations over the past year

It can be seen that over time, the correlation may appear stronger, or it may disappear or even be reversed. So oil is just one of the factors and not always very significant.

As a result, there is no exact way to predict the euro exchange rate. On the Internet, you can unearth more complex calculations, articles and even books on this topic. Traders in the currency markets use their models, trained with the help of machine learning, heaps of factors tested in forex battles. But they all work only under certain conditions and for certain purposes. At the layman's level, they are almost useless.

There are also a lot of sites with frank trash on the Internet. I saw a resource with many tables with forecasts for a week, a month, a year - any period. By all indications - all these tables are simply generated by random numbers. And even in this form, this analysis is still suitable for the average person. Because no one knows the future and everyone makes mistakes.

What is the euro exchange rate forecast for tomorrow?

Euro exchange rate forecast for tomorrow is 77.14 rub., the minimum rate is 76.06, and the maximum is 78.22 rubles. The current Euro rate is 80.17. Today the rate is down 4.3% compared to yesterday's close at 83.77.

Will the Euro rise or fall in a week?

Euro exchange rate forecast in a week 83.44 rub., minimum 82.27, maximum 84.61 rub. Thus, for a week the Euro exchange rate will increase on 3.27 rub. relative to the exchange rate now at 80.17 rubles. See the table below for a more detailed forecast by day for the week.

What is the Euro exchange rate forecast for March?

Euro exchange rate forecast for March 73.13-91.90, at the end of March 90.63 rub. At the beginning of March, the Euro exchange rate was 73.75, i.e. the monthly change will be +22.9%.

What Euro exchange rate is predicted for April?

Euro exchange rate forecast for April - 94.26 rub. at the end of April, the minimum rate during the month is 89.62, the maximum is 95.58. Monthly change +4.0%.

Euro exchange rate forecast for every day in the table

What is the Euro forecast for May?

Euro exchange rate forecast for May is in the range of 94.26-99.32, at the end of May 97.95 rub. Monthly change +3.9%.

What Euro exchange rate is predicted until the end of 2020?

Euro exchange rate forecast for 2020 year: the rate will trade in the range of 89.62-101.48. Price forecast for the end of December 2020 96.87 rub.

What will the Euro rate be like in 2021?

Euro exchange rate forecast for 2021 year: exchange rate at the end of December 2021 - 92.26 rub. And during the year the rate will fluctuate in the range of 87.42-97.23.

Euro exchange rate forecast for 2020, 2021 and 2022

Currency Forecasts:

In our section EUR RUB forecast of the euro against the ruble for today, for tomorrow we offer traders an up-to-date EUR/RUB trading forecast, a peculiar analysis and forecast of the euro/ruble exchange rate for today as part of the analysis current situation on FOREX market with simple tools. The Euro exchange rate forecast section is updated every day.

Euro to Ruble exchange rate forecast

Currency pair EUR/RUB represents the value of the euro exchange rate, expressed through the value of the Russian ruble on FOREX. The eur rub pair is one of the main currency pairs and is not very popular among traders and investors, only among forex market professionals.

Euro to ruble forecast for today

As part of the publication of EUR RUB forecasts, we also offer traders trading recommendations and signals for the EUR/RUB pair from the experts of our portal. If you constantly follow the updates of the FOREX EUR RUB forecast section for today, you have already noticed that movements often occur immediately after the publication of forecasts for the EUR/RUB pair.

Euro exchange rate forecast for tomorrow

Thanks to the analysis of the four-hour chart currency pair euro ruble, we make a forecast EUR exchange rate/RUB for tomorrow, which is also relevant at this point in time. As a rule, EUR/RUB Forex forecast for tomorrow is published in the afternoon, taking into account the morning trading session and right before the most aggressive US trading session.

Euro to Ruble exchange rate forecast for a week

Weekly reviews of the euro/ruble pair are published on Friday towards the end of the trading week. As a rule, the EUR/RUB daily chart is taken for analysis, which is able to reflect medium-term trends and due to the analysis of which the traders of our portal make a EUR/RUB forecast for the week.

The euro exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation by day is displayed on this site with the ability to track adjustments for the month. The information is interesting both for entrepreneurs, representatives of large businesses, and ordinary people who prefer to keep their savings in one of the most reliable currencies in the world. Information is updated immediately after the release of official data.

How is the euro exchange rate set by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation for today and tomorrow?

Changes in the euro exchange rate of the Central Bank for today and tomorrow are taking place under the close supervision of the state. Official data is used for calculations. The unofficial rate often differs from that which was set by the Central Bank, is used for settlements between individuals and ordinary citizens.

The formation rules are spelled out in the order of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation No. 286-P of 2006. According to them, official data are indicated every business day, but they can be used on the next calendar day. The Euro rate of the Central Bank is also valid on weekends, but the one that was set on Friday. Next changes take place on Monday.

To determine the main provisions, the values ​​​​of the value of the Moscow Exchange for trading in the pair US dollar - Russian National currency. For this, the average value is taken monetary unit USA during the index session. The latter begins immediately after the opening of trading, continues until 11.30. The order to assign new quotes is more often issued by three o'clock in the afternoon.

Dynamics of the euro exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation

On our website, the dynamics of the euro exchange rate of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation is presented in a monthly chart. You can see her:

• for three days;
• a week;
• quarter;
• all the time.

Just below the graph is another one - by month. Comparing the indicators, you can make a forecast, determine best time to complete a transaction or assess the situation on foreign exchange market. The indicators serve as the basis for calculations:

• in the framework of accounting;
• calculations of customs and tax services;
• financial operations of the Ministry of Finance.

How to convert euros to rubles?

Use the euro to ruble converter to find out more accurate values ​​for today: the transfer is carried out instantly. With the help of a special program, you can find out how many rubles are in euros, evaluate the benefits of the available amount of foreign money.

Given the data of the Central Bank, which were established yesterday. For information about commercial rates, go to the appropriate tab "Currency rates". The purchase and sale data are given at the most favorable commercial rates. By clicking on the name of the specified bank, you can get more detailed information, including the location of branches in your city.

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The European currency is going through a crisis related to the economic and political situation in the EU. Experts give their forecast for the euro for 2019 against the US dollar and the Russian ruble.

What will happen to the euro and dollar rates: forecasts for 2019, chart

According to Reuters, the economic growth in the eurozone next year will slow down and will be no more than 1.5%. This is a more prominent figure than expected last quarter, but still not high enough due to uncertainty in global trade and due to internal factors affecting large EU economies. ECB officials have repeatedly stressed that the prospect of raising interest rates is quite high, but the average size inflation is still around 1%, well below the target.

EUR/USD exchange rate chart in 2019

central bank The EU does not decide on the direction of monetary policy without taking this indicator into account, so without a continued increase in core inflation, it will have no reason to consider a more restrictive monetary policy.

The ECB's goal for 2019 is to keep price growth close to its inflation target, so it is likely that rate hikes will not begin until 2020 at the earliest. Given that the US Federal Reserve and European bank are likely to continue the monetary policy outlined back in 2018, the EUR/USD rate will remain at 1.15.

Economic and political reasons for the change in the value of the euro in rubles in 2019

In December last year, the Russian Central Bank raised key rate up to 7.75% in response to the increase interest rate US Federal Reserve to 2.5%. The goal is to target inflation, which will be around 4% by the end of the year. Taking into account the fact that inflation rose by 0.9% in just 3 weeks, analysts believe that the final figure will exceed 5%.

EUR to RUB exchange rate chart for 2019

Consumer inflation in the euro area fell at the end of 2018 and after the New Year due to sharp declines in energy and food prices. Headline inflation averaged 1.7%, compared to 1.5% in 2017, and also exceeded the monthly average. It is assumed that oil prices this year and next will not be lower than last year, and inflation in the euro area will be 1.4%.

Inflation in the EU, data for 2018

This year, the euro exchange rate against the ruble will react, first of all, to geopolitical factors, for example, to US sanctions against Russia, which are also supported by the EU. In addition, the value of the ruble may be negatively affected by the price of oil, which, despite the imposed production restrictions, still remains unstable.

Taking into account the need to purchase the Central Bank of the Russian Federation foreign exchange for the needs of the Ministry of Finance, further weakening of the ruble against the European currency is expected with a trading range on the foreign exchange market of 77-80 rubles per euro.

How the euro will change: a positive scenario for the ruble

Provide long-term forecasts on the value of the euro and its impact on Russian ruble difficult because of the tense political and economic relations between Russia, the EU and the US.

Opinions of analysts of the Central Bank

According to experts from the Ministry of Finance and Central Bank, the exchange rate of the European currency in 2019 will remain rather unstable, as it was observed in 2017-2018. This year, the euro against the ruble may rise to 85-90 rubles. per unit, subject to the preservation of the current political situation. In general, economic forecasts are characterized by a high degree of uncertainty and downside risk cannot be ruled out. Trade tensions, which have become global in recent times, have eased to some extent.

Forecasts of experts of the Ministry of Economic Development

Experts from the Ministry of Economic Development believe that until the end current year the value of the euro will remain virtually unchanged. This conclusion follows from the investment study of the European Commission, according to which the volume of investment in production in the euro area will remain at the level of 4.5% this year and will grow to 5.0% in 2020.

Projected euro exchange rate according to Sberbank

According to the forecast of Sberbank specialists, the euro exchange rate in Russia will slightly decrease and reach 71 rubles per unit of currency. This conclusion is drawn from the annual EU economic development report, which indicates that the level of consumption in the euro area fell from 0.2 in the previous quarter to 0.1%. This indicates a slowdown in job creation and an increase in private cash savings. That is, Europeans began to spend less, which negatively affects economic development EU and the rise in the value of the European currency.

Will the euro rise in price: a negative scenario for the ruble

The forecasts of independent experts are not as positive as those discussed above from domestic financiers. Given the pressure economic sanctions on Russia and the fall in oil prices, foreign experts do not reject the option of increasing the cost of the euro to 100 rubles per unit. But not everyone is of this opinion.

“An increase in VAT by 2% and an increase in excises on gasoline will give impetus to a continued rise in inflation, which will require the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to revise the key interest rate. Ultimately, this will help stabilize the ruble against the dollar and the euro.”

Konstantin Kochergin, head of the department at Vostochny Bank, in an interview with Argumenty i Fakty

“Increasing the role of the private sector will certainly be very beneficial for Russia: it will increase the efficiency of the economy and create prerequisites for growth. However, to achieve this increase in the share of the private sector is not enough: it is also necessary to improve the conditions in which it operates. This will help attract investors from EU countries to the zones Russian economy, not subject to sanctions, and strengthen the ruble "

Head of the analytical department of Grand Capital Sergey Kozlovsky in an interview with RBC +

“The current instability of the ruble may cause serious financial shocks to the Russian economy in the future. It is likely that in the fall of 2019, the price may rise to 80, and then to 85-90 rubles per euro.

Financial and stock analyst Stepan Demura in an interview with RBC.

In what currency is it safer to keep savings in 2019: ruble, euro, dollar

most reliable currency in 2019, the US dollar will remain. About 63% of global reserves are held in these units, and one in two trading operation in the world is also made in US dollars. In addition, it is worth noting that the experts' forecasts for $ are very optimistic, which cannot be said about European currency, which is experiencing sharp jumps due to the exit of Britain from the EU and the internal crisis in the economy.

Even according to the most optimistic forecasts, the value of the ruble will remain unchanged against the euro, but is more likely to be in the region of 80-85 rubles. for a unit. This means that keeping savings in rubles is still risky, how to invest in Russian currency.

Write in the comments your forecast for the value of the ruble against the dollar and the euro for 2019.