27.11.2019

Valero Energy, ticker: VLO - Valero Energy stock price chart. Valero Energy, ordinary share Shares of valero energy


Valero Energy is listed on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) under the ticker VLO, and shares are quoted in US dollars. Valero Energy, which operates a network of energy business units, is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States of America

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Background information about Valero Energy

Valero Energy is American oil company international activities in the energy industry in the territory different countries North America and Europe, the main direction of this business is oil refining, manages a network of gas stations selling fuel of its own production. The name of this organization comes from the name of the Catholic fortress Mision San Antonio de Valero (Mission San Antonio de Valero) built by the Spaniards in 1744 in the state of Texas to Christianize the local Indian population, today this object is a museum in the city of San Antonio .

Valero Energy products

Valero Energy's factories produce a variety of petroleum products, including a huge range of lubricants and automotive fuels, which the company sells at its own filling stations. Also this organization provides transportation of oil, controlling several pipelines mainly in North America.



Financial indicators and characteristics of the structure of Valero Energy Corporation

Today Valero Energy is an international energy corporation operating in the field of oil refining. Now the company employs about 10 thousand employees. Exemplary monetary equivalent of Valero Energy's assets is $45 billion, and its average annual profit is about $1 billion.





The history of the emergence and development of Valero Energy

Valero Energy was formed in 1981 after the division of the business of the American oil and gas corporation Coastal States Gas Corporation. Over the following years, Valero Energy rapidly developed and transformed into a large energy holding, the modern business structure of which was approved in 1997, then this organization completely concentrated on oil refining, selling its gas assets to other companies. A huge contribution to the development of the business of Valero Energy Corporation was made by the manager Joseph Gorder.

While publishing my next analytical review on world markets, I was already mentally thinking about the evening football match, but unexpectedly I got the task to search for an interesting and relevant investment idea in the oil and gas sector, which is now going through hard times.

However, after a long search, I was extremely interested in the largest oil refinery in the United States, Valero Energy. The company operates in three segments: oil refining, ethanol production and sales, and a fuel retail unit. I liked the fact that Valero Energy has great production facilities that cover all needs various types clients - both corporate and private, in connection with which it receives a stable cash flow.

No less important for me is the attitude of the management, which pursues a friendly policy towards investors, annually increasing dividend payments since 2000. Currently dividend yield is 3.6%, which is significantly higher than that of the main competitors.

In addition, in my opinion, the demand for petroleum products will continue to grow, especially given the annual increase in car sales in the US. In addition, Americans may once again switch to uneconomical cars due to the expected oversupply of "black gold" in the United States in the event that restrictions on oil and gas production are lifted.

Having studied financial statements company and calculated the main multiples, I came to the conclusion that Valero Energy, despite the leadership in its sector, is still undervalued relative to its key competitors and retains upside potential of 16%.

Valero Energy shares are part of our US strategy. Balanced. IIA, the uniqueness of which lies in the combination of shares listed on the US and Russian stock exchanges, which makes it available for IIA and, accordingly, for all investors, and not just those with the status of "qualified". The strategy is focused on obtaining a moderate income. When managing, first of all, on the basis of macroeconomic analysis, the optimal weights of various asset classes (stocks, bonds, commodities) in the portfolio are determined. Further, within each class based on fundamental analysis the most promising instruments are selected. Technical analysis plays a supporting role. A portfolio can include both ETFs and individual stocks.

Executive Summary

Valero Energy is the largest refinery in North America with a large production capacity to meet all the needs of different types of customers.

Valero Energy operates in three segments: oil refining, production and sale of ethanol. The third direction is retail, the company has more than 5 thousand filling stations.

Valero Energy's key strength is its investor-friendly management. The company annually increases dividend payments and conducts share buyback programs. The current dividend yield is 4.06%.

Another advantage of Valero Energy is its geographical location. So, 2 main oil refineries are located on the west coast between Los Angeles and San Diego, where more than 25 million people live.

Removal of restrictions on oil production in the United States may have a positive impact on financial indicators companies.

Despite being a leader in its sector, Valero Energy is still undervalued on all key multiples relative to its peers.

We assign sharesValero Energy recommendation "Buy" and set the target price at $77.

Basic information

Financial indicators, mln.$

Financial ratios, %

Brief description of the issuer

Valero Energy is the largest independent player in American market oil refining and retail fuel with a market capitalization of $30.7 billion. Engaged in the production and sale of petroleum products. Note that Valero Energy has 15 refineries with a total capacity of 3 million barrels of oil per day, 11 ethanol plants, a wind farm with a capacity of 50 megawatts, and more than 5,000 gas stations located in almost all states in the United States. The company operates in three segments: Refining, Ethanol and Retail. The Refining segment includes oil refining, wholesale distribution, product supply, and transport operations. The Ethanol segment is engaged in the production and sale of ethanol and grain distillates. The Retail segment includes filling stations and fuel sales. Valero Energy's main market for its products is the US, accounting for 70% of its total revenue, followed by the UK, which generates 11% of revenue, followed by Canada and other markets (8% and 11% respectively). As for segmentation, 96% of the total revenue comes from oil refining.

growth factors

Note that Valero Energy is the largest refinery in North America, with large production capacities that can cover all the needs of various types of customers, both corporate and private, and therefore has a stable cash flow. In addition, it is worth noting that the management of Valero Energy pursues a friendly policy towards investors, annually increasing dividend payments and conducting share buyback programs. In addition, Valero Energy increased capital expenditure by $1 billion, which will further improve the company's financial performance. The advantage for the company is the geographical location of facilities. So, 2 main oil refineries are located on the west coast between Los Angeles and San Diego, where more than 25 million people live, and the region is one of the largest in terms of fuel consumption.

It is also worth noting that Donald Trump promised to lift restrictions on oil and gas production, in connection with which an oversupply of oil is predicted in the United States. It is likely that oversupply in the oil market will negatively affect the dynamics of oil quotations, which, in turn, may encourage consumers to buy vehicles that are uneconomical in terms of fuel consumption. As a result, the demand for petroleum products could increase significantly, which will positively affect the financial performance of Valero Energy.

Financial results

Now consider the financial results of Valero Energy for the fourth quarter. Thus, the company's revenue reporting period increased by 10.3% to $20.71 billion, while analysts had forecast revenue of $17.42 billion. Operating profit of the ethanol division was $126 million due to high prices for this type of fuel, compared with a loss of $13 million in the year previously. Net profit increased by 23.15%, and amounted to $367 million or 81 cents per share. At the same time, adjusted earnings per share amounted to 81 cents, while analysts had forecast 77 cents per share. However, the report notes that overall profitability has declined due to higher biofuel production costs and the discount between domestic and global oil prices. In general, it should be noted that financial results surpassed all analysts' expectations.

Indicator, mln$ 4Q2016 4Q2015 Change, y/y 2016 2015 Change y/y
Revenue 20,712 18,777 10,31 75,659 87,804 -13,83%
Cost price -20,092 -18,131 10,82 -72,087 -81,446 -11,49%
Operating profit (EBIT) 0,62 0,646 -4,02 3,572 6,358 -43,82%
Profit before taxes 0,529 0,55 3,182 5,971 -46,71
taxes -0,113 -0,155 -0,765 -1,87
Net profit directed to shareholders 0,367 0,298 23,15 2,289 3,99 -42,63

Source - Thomson Reuters

Based on the dynamics since 2011, the company's revenue has been declining over the past few years due to low prices on oil, as well as the decline in oil production in the United States in the past few years. Nevertheless, the company's management managed to stabilize the situation by cutting costs and optimizing the business. In addition, over the past six months, US oil production has started to grow again due to an increase in the number of operating drilling rigs. It is also worth noting that analysts predicted revenue of $72.04 billion in 2016, but at the end of the year it exceeded their forecasts and amounted to $75.66 billion.

Evaluation of the company by metrics and comparison with competitors

In terms of comparative ratios, Valero Energy, despite being a leader in its sector, is still undervalued on all key metrics relative to its competitors.

Currently, Valero Energy's dividend yield is 4.06%, while the market average is 2.9%.

Technical analysis

From a technical point of view, on the monthly chart, Valero Energy stock quotes are trading in a long-term ascending channel, with its upper limit reaching $89, and the lower one passing around $56. At the same time, the shares are expected to renew their all-time high at $73.88. Stochastic lines have reached the overbought zone, so there is a temporary suspension of the upward movement.

Data source - Thomson Reuters

Based on the foregoing, we expect Valero Energy shares to medium term could go up to $77.

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